tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8078379512095504946.post3146425327574024363..comments2024-03-26T06:17:49.527-07:00Comments on Had Enough Therapy?: Assessing Future TrendsStuart Schneidermanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12784043736879991769noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8078379512095504946.post-37320986104728152342022-10-06T07:40:58.782-07:002022-10-06T07:40:58.782-07:00Because the "one child" policy was so su...Because the "one child" policy was so successful, according to demographer Peter Zeihen, the population of China will be halved in the next 40 years or so and the number of Chinese retirees will soon far outnumber those of working age. All those second homes in China's empty cities that were purchased as investments will soon be unsaleable because there will be no one to buy them. <br /><br />Russia was also rapidly losing population prior to its war with Ukraine and the situation is only growing worse. There is no longer any there "there". The best and brightest leave as soon as they can get out. <br /><br />Young people around the world are not getting married and, if they do. either have one or no children. Abortion is also taking its toll. Seventeen million black abortions since Roe v. Wade in the early 70's probably equates to about 50,000,000 missing blacks in the US. Do the math. The US population is growing because of the uncontrolled influx of illegal immigrants.Steve Goodmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10166204395013691687noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8078379512095504946.post-45462603095486313912022-10-06T07:12:52.004-07:002022-10-06T07:12:52.004-07:00Feminism is an existential threat. Feminism is an existential threat. 370H55V I/me/minenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8078379512095504946.post-14879388908444770482022-10-06T06:32:00.580-07:002022-10-06T06:32:00.580-07:00Yes, labor productivity trends are not good. It is...Yes, labor productivity trends are not good. It is interesting that this phenomenon exists at the very same time that so many people are panicking about the threat that Robots Will Take All The Jobs.<br /><br />The usual response when this is pointed out is to argue that we haven't really seen the impact of AI, robotics, etc. I don't think this is correct. Automation is a long-tern (over centuries) trend, not something that is likely to show a sharp upward break in productivity.<br /><br />My working hypothesis is that there is indeed a lot of productivity improvement, but that its impact is being swallowed by bureaucracy, regulatory complexity, bad management, and (especially in the last few years) worker demoralization.David Fosterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15464681514800720063noreply@blogger.com