tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8078379512095504946.post998036749564267857..comments2024-03-26T06:17:49.527-07:00Comments on Had Enough Therapy?: The Youth BulgeStuart Schneidermanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12784043736879991769noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8078379512095504946.post-81162960779639280652012-03-24T08:19:22.787-07:002012-03-24T08:19:22.787-07:00Spengler's (Goldman's) point on this is th...Spengler's (Goldman's) point on this is that population growth rates are collapsing everywhere, including the general arab world.<br /><br />Except for Africa, perhaps. I think they are still expanding rapidly, but they also die rapidly.<br /><br />"Population decline is the elephant in the world's living room. As a matter of arithmetic, we know that the social life of most developed countries will break down within two generations. Two out of three Italians and three of four Japanese will be elderly dependents by 2050. [1] If present fertility rates hold, the number of Germans will fall by 98% over the next two centuries. No pension and health care system can support such an inverted population pyramid. Nor is the problem limited to the industrial nations. Fertility is falling at even faster rates - indeed, at rates never before registered anywhere - in the Muslim world."<br /><br />http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Global_Economy/ML13Dj05.htmlJPhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11126071014909954387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8078379512095504946.post-14549937460447527002012-03-23T12:32:03.229-07:002012-03-23T12:32:03.229-07:00Also, let's look at China and India where a co...Also, let's look at China and India where a combined 60 million girls have been aborted in the last 20 years due to the wonders of sex selection tech. So now there are 60 million young men growing up who will find it very hard to get a wife. War to come? I wouldn't be surprised.<br /><br />Note too how South Asians in the U.S. have also been practicing selective abortion, even though many are quite wealthy. Luckily, we won't have to deal with the kinds of numbers that China and India will, but I still find it practically and morally reprehensibleAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8078379512095504946.post-87039655223327285982012-03-23T09:23:06.212-07:002012-03-23T09:23:06.212-07:00"More specifically, “youth bulge” occurs when..."More specifically, “youth bulge” occurs when a culture produces more young men than it can absorb into the labor force."<br /><br />Important that the number/percent of young men a society can absorb into the labor force is not a constant, but depends on the structure of the society, In the US in the 19th century, for example, availability of free land meant a lot of people could gain income, autonomy, and reasonable status as farmers. In the first half of the 20th century, the expansion of mass-production industry meant absorbability of a lot of low and medium-skilled people for reasonably-well-paid, if often boring, jobs.<br /><br />Not clear that many of the Middle Eastern countries will follow or be able to follow either of these paths, Turkey and probably Iran excepted.David Fosterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15464681514800720063noreply@blogger.com