The Washington Post is upbeat about the American economy:
Two new
numbers out Friday morning indicate that the U.S. economy is plugging along
better than you thought.
The
most important legs of the economy—consumers and businesses—both showed
surprising resilience in November, even as negotiations heated up over the
fiscal cliff.Personal
consumption spending rose 0.4 percent and incomes rose 0.6 percent,
according to one report. According to another, overall orders for
durable goods rose 0.7 percent while a key measure of business
investment, orders for nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft, rose a
surprising 2.7 percent.
It concludes:
Put it
all together, and the Friday economic reports are a nice Christmas gift for
anyone hoping to see a better year in 2013. The pieces are in place, with both
the consumer and business sides of the economy holding up….
At the same time Bloomberg News offers a sobering
assessment of the career prospects of Generation Y.
Generation
Y professionals entering the workforce are finding careers that once were
gateways to high pay and upwardly mobile lives turning into detours and dead
ends. Average incomes for individuals ages 25 to 34 have
fallen 8 percent, double the adult population’s total drop, since the recession
began in December 2007. Their unemployment rate
remains stuck one-half to 1 percentage point above the national figure.
Three
and a half years after the worst recession since the Great Depression, the
earnings and employment gap between those in the under-35 population and their
parents and grandparents threatens to unravel the American dream of each
generation doing better than the last. The nation’s younger workers have
benefited least from an economic recovery that has been the most uneven in
recent history.
Gen Yers who did not go to college do worse. Bloomberg
reports:
Those
who finish only high school or drop out fare worse. Almost four out of five
jobs destroyed by the recession were held by workers with a high school diploma
or less, according to Georgetown University’s
Center on Education and the Workforce.
Middle-income
jobs are disappearing for a wide range of young professionals. The number of
financial counselors and loan officers ages 25 to 34 has dropped 40 percent
since 2007, outpacing the 30 percent drop in total jobs for the profession,
according to the federal Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Now the question is: which is the real America? Do statistics
paint a fair picture of the economy? Or do the bleak accounts of the future
prospects of American twentysomethings put us in touch with a higher truth?
It's difficult to know for certain when nearly 10% of our economy (at the federal level alone) is directed through a progressive devaluation of capital and labor. When we also consider private debt, the distortion of our economy is massive and embedded.
ReplyDeleteWell, as long as people continue to work and play, and self-moderate their behavior we should be all right. Unfortunately, more people are not working, they are playing, and they are failing to moderate their behavior. At this time, our odds of success are 50/50 or perhaps 49/51.
We be lied to.
ReplyDelete