Readers of this blog will not find this to be new news. I
have been covering it for quite some time now. The story, coming out of the
Middle East, is: while Arab nations are publicly denouncing President Trump’s
actions on Jerusalem, behind the scenes they are supporting it.
The New York Times reported yesterday:
As
President Trump moved last month to recognize
Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, an Egyptian intelligence officer
quietly placed phone calls to the hosts of several influential talk shows in
Egypt.
“Like
all our Arab brothers,” Egypt would denounce the decision in public, the
officer, Capt. Ashraf al-Kholi, told the hosts.
But
strife with Israel was not in Egypt’s national interest, Captain Kholi said. He
told the hosts that instead of condemning the decision, they should persuade
their viewers to accept it. Palestinians, he suggested, should content
themselves with the dreary West Bank town that currently houses the Palestinian
Authority, Ramallah.
The shift in policy is marked and noteworthy:
For
decades, powerful Arab states like Egypt and Saudi Arabia have publicly
criticized Israel’s treatment of the Palestinians, while privately acquiescing
to Israel’s continued occupation of territory the Palestinians claim as their
homeland.
But now
a de facto alliance against shared foes such as Iran, the Muslim Brotherhood,
Islamic State militants and the Arab Spring uprisings is drawing the Arab
leaders into an ever-closer collaboration with their one-time nemesis, Israel —
producing especially stark juxtapositions between their posturing in public and
private.
Mr.
Trump’s decision broke with a central premise of 50 years of American-sponsored
peace talks, defied decades of Arab demands that East Jerusalem be the capital
of a Palestinian state, and stoked fears of a violent backlash across the
Middle East.
Arab
governments, mindful of the popular sympathy for the Palestinian cause, rushed
to publicly condemn it.
Egyptian
state media reported that President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi had personally
protested to Mr. Trump. Egyptian religious leaders close to the government
refused to meet with Vice President Mike Pence, and Egypt submitted a United
Nations Security Council resolution demanding a reversal of Mr. Trump’s
decision. (The United States vetoed
the resolution,
although the General Assembly adopted
a similar one, over American objections, days later.)
King
Salman of Saudi Arabia, arguably the most influential Arab state, also publicly
denounced Mr. Trump’s decision.
At the same
time, though, the kingdom had already quietly signaled its acquiescence or even
tacit approval of the Israeli claim to Jerusalem. Days before Mr. Trump’s
announcement, the Saudi crown prince, Mohammed bin Salman, privately
urged the Palestinian president, Mahmoud Abbas, to accept a radically curtailed
vision of statehood without a capital in East Jerusalem, according to
Palestinian, Arab and European officials who have heard Mr. Abbas’s version of
events.
This affirms the story that had been reported in the Israeli
press, especially by Debkafile.
A University of Maryland scholar agrees with me that the
shift is monumentally important:
Shibley
Telhami, a scholar of the region at the University of Maryland and the
Brookings Institution, called the Arab states’ acceptance of the decision
“transformational.”
“I
don’t think it would have happened a decade ago, because Arab leaders would
have made clear they wouldn’t live with it,” he said. Instead, he said,
preoccupied by concerns about their own stability, the Arab leaders signaled
that — while they may not like the decision — they “will find a way to work
with it,” and “with a White House that is prepared to break with what had been
taboos in American foreign policy.”
"I don’t think it would have happened a decade ago, because Arab leaders would have made clear they wouldn’t live with it,"
ReplyDeleteWell, that combined with the fact that we no longer have a throne-sniffer in the Oval Office.