For Germany’s Angela Merkel, it was all about business. Like
her confreres in Paris and London, she wanted to preserve business deals with
Iran. To hell with the rest of it. These countries assume that the big boys in
the schoolyard, i.e. the United States will deal with Iran’s support for
terrorism, its ballistic missile program and its yearnings for nuclear weapons.
Fair enough… if you want to define yourself as junior
partners in an alliance.
Now, we read in Der Spiegel, another country has
expressed its serious displeasure at Iran’s bias toward the JCPOA and against
America. That country is… Saudi Arabia.
We all suspected that Trump would not have canceled the Iran
deal and even the move of the American embassy in Israel to Jerusalem without
some sense that the Saudis did not object too strenuously. Now, on the Iran
deal, Saudi Arabia has told Germany that it could do business with Iran if it
liked, but it could not also do business with Saudi Arabia. Poof.
Der Spiegel reports on how this is effecting a German
business called Detlet Daues:
Detlef
Daues is a pioneer of the German small- and medium-sized companies that have
made Germany what it is today: a prosperous nation with good international
relations that stretch to even the farthest-flung corners of the world.
His
Hannover-based virtual department store for original replacement parts, V-Line
GmbH, services customers in countries like Mexico, the United States, Qatar and
Oman in addition to others in East Asia. But 65 percent of Daues' revenues come
from Saudi Arabia.
Quietly, Saudi Arabia has shown its displeasure with German
policy:
But
currently, the once-positive relationship between Saudi Arabia and Germany has
worsened. Six months ago, Riyadh withdrew its ambassador from Germany and he
still hasn't returned. There has been little open discussion of the reasons
behind the conflict, but for people like Daues in the business community, the
rift is as plain as day. "For Germans, the doors in Riyadh have suddenly
been closed," says one experienced businessman in the Saudi capital.
Meetings with delegations from Germany that were set up before the crisis are
being canceled. "That hurts," says Oliver Oehms of the German-Saudi
Arabian Liaison Office for Economic Affairs in Riyadh.
More specifically:
But now
the "German government has succeeded" in "upsetting the country
so badly that German firms are being excluded from being awarded
contracts," the entrepreneur wrote in a letter to Bernd Althusmann, the
economics minister for the state of Lower-Saxony, where his company is located.
He wrote that he had been deliberately excluded from contracts for the first
time.
Evidently, the chill has been a long time coming:
Young
crown prince Mohammed bin Salman, known as MBS for short, appears to be
"deeply offended" by the German government, says Daues, who adds that
his information comes from confidants in Riyadh. Relations between the two
countries began souring last November when then-German Foreign Minister Sigmar
Gabriel spoke of spreading "political adventurism" in the Middle
East, a remark many thought was aimed at Saudi Arabia. The impression was
widespread at the time that Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri was being held
against his will in Riyadh and that he was being strong-armed by the rulers
there to step down.
But the canceled Iran deal has deepened Saudi distrust of
Germany:
Berlin
is determined to stick with the nuclear deal despite U.S. President Donald
Trump's announcement he will withdraw from it, whereas there is deep-seated
distrust of the government in Tehran in Riyadh. It may be that the Saudi crown
prince views Germany's conduct as criticism of his governance. Sources close to
him say that a relaxed attitude toward differences of opinion is not one of the
prince's strong points.
It gets worse for Germany. Der Spiegel has the details:
Germany remains Saudi Arabia's most important European
trading partner. Some 800 German companies are active in the country, and 200
have offices in Saudi Arabia with a total of 40,000 employees. In 2017, the
volume of German exports to Saudi Arabia was 6.6 billion euros. But the mood is
shifting.
Well-informed
observers in Saudi Arabia are reporting that even larger German companies like
Daimler have been affected. The Saudis, for example, threatened to temporarily
postpone the delivery of several hundred Mercedes buses. Officially, the
company has vehemently denied the reports, with Daimler saying it cannot
confirm any delay. The bus project, the company insists, is proceeding on
schedule.
The
Saudi Health Ministry, which has worked closely together with medical equipment
supplier Siemens and pharmaceutical companies Bayer and Boehringer for years,
has also distanced itself from its German partners recently. "The business
is tougher," a spokesman for Siemens says in a cautious formulation.
"We don't want to comment on the matter," spokespeople for Bayer and
Boehringer stated. No one wants to further rile the government in Saudi Arabia.
Recently, Riyadh's city development authority ADA issued a contract for the
construction of a major bike path that will run through the capital city's
green belt to the American architecture firm Coen+Partners. But only a year
ago, it had planned to award the contract to the German firm AS+P Albert Speer
and Bödeker Landscape Architects.
Of course, the story has been ignored. The American media
has gotten its knickers in a twist over the supposedly deteriorating relations
between Trump and Merkel. As often happens, given its blinders, it is missing
important aspects of the larger story.
I suspect Saudi Arabia has much more money than Iran. Merkel should notice.
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