Sunday, November 2, 2014

Nate Silver's Latest Senate Forcast

Wunderkind statistician Nate Silver, the man who has earned a reputation for being the most accurate prognosticator of elections has just offered his latest prediction of Tuesday’s Senate races.

It comes to us from his FiveThirtyEight blog, at ESPN.

Republicans have a 73.0%chance of winning a majority.

Democrats have a 27.0%chance of keeping the majority.

There is a 21.9% chance Republicans will control 52 seats and Democrats will control 48 seats.

If you follow the link and examine the graph that accompanies the forecast you will see that over the past few days the forecast shows that the election has been breaking toward  Republican candidates.

As much as we are all interested in the outcome of the elections, some of us will be wondering whether Nate Silver has again called it correctly.

1 comment:

Sam L. said...

Well, we will wonder until all the results are in, and then we'll know.