Sunday, December 6, 2020

Iranians for Trump

The American media has not been covering the story, so we turn to the Times of London. At least that is what the New York Post did for its report about how things were going in Iran. 

After the Trump maximum pressure campaign, Iran is severely depleted. It is in serious trouble:

Two years after the U.S. imposed tough sanctions on Iran after withdrawing from the Iran nuclear deal, Iran’s economy is crippled, the Times of London reported. Millions of Iran’s middle class have fallen into poverty, while inflation has skyrocketed to 41%.

And mass demonstrations have roiled the country for nearly a year. Tens of thousands took to the streets last November to protest a doubling of gas prices. In January, Iran downed a Ukranian commercial airliner, igniting more unrest. Crowds demanded the resignation of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, yelling “death to the dictator.”

Iranian citizens do not believe that the regime will implode from within. They insist that an outside force is required.

Yet, despite the public signs of growing opposition to the regime, some Iranians believe an outside force is needed to help bring about political reform. They stand firm that Trump would have been that force if Americans had given him a second term.

They compare Trump’s approach to President Ronald Reagan’s 1987 challenge to Soviet Leader Mikhail Gorbachev — to “tear down” the Berlin Wall, a symbol of the Communist regime that had divided Germany. Foreign policy experts later credited Reagan’s words with helping usher the Soviet Union’s collapse.

Iran’s rulers were surely rooting for Joe Biden:

From this perspective, Biden’s plans to reenter the nuclear deal and talk to Iran’s leaders are seen as a way to perpetuate the ayatollahs’ rule.

“Trump is kind of attractive for people like the Iranian middle class because he bullies anyone — and in Iran, the one who bullies, he or she has power,” said a journalist who lives in Tehran.

The ayatollahs wanted Biden. The people, for the most part, wanted Trump:

A story that the journalist wrote wrote online about the U. S. election generated a surprising amount of pro-Trump response.

“The feedback I received showed people maybe want Trump to win – and it really shocked me,” she said. “I know there are lots of people who think it’s not so good for us that Biden is here because he’ll talk to the government, everything will go back, and the Islamic Republic will survive.“

Yet experts pushed back on the idea that another four years of Trump would have led to a change in leadership.

“Had Trump won, we would have expected inflation to continue and to worsen. That had been the trend over the past year, and was exacerbated by COVID-19 situation,” said Esfandyar Batmanghelidj, founder of the think tank Bourse & Bazaar.

But, the fact that people believe that the regime would have survived a second Trump term does not mean that it would have survived a second Trump term.

“That would have caused an increase in political instability and unrest, because of a situation where more Iranians would have been pushed into poverty. It would probably have led to the government being somewhat delegitimized and a low turnout in elections. But these are all very different from the collapse of the regime.”

1 comment:

Sam L. said...

The Dems love autocracies, which is why they want to be one.